The 5 films that are going for the Oscar

Although the 95th ceremony of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences will take place until March 12, with the delivery of the Golden Globes, the announcement of the BAFTA short list, the nominations for the Screen Actors Guild (SAG) awards ) and the Producers Guild, the photography of the films that fight for the main prize and, as a result, many of the other categories already have five very clear contenders, with another two that also seem quite safe, but that perhaps have fewer opportunities given its more commercial nature.

The two most commercial cut tapes are “Top: Gun Maverick” and “Avatar: El camino del agua”. Both films are already the two highest-grossing films of 2022, the first with better reviews than the second, but with a technical impact and a release strategy that launched it just at the decisive moment and allowed it to become the cinematographic moment of the end of 2022 and early 2023. Both have been present at all the awards in the main category, although perhaps omitting other categories that account for their solidity (director, script, performances). That is why the five real contenders for the top medal are, in alphabetical order:


The biopic on the life of Elvis Presley is, apart from “Top Gun: Maverick”, the film that premiered earlier in the season. From the hand of Baz Luhrman, he has stood out for his different approach, telling the story through the rock idol from the perspective of Colonel Tom Parker, his representative. Austin Butler, recently winner of the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Comedy or Musical, is his strongest card, although it will not be unusual to see the film in categories such as Art Design, Costume Design, among others. He has 44 wins and 141 nominations.

the spirits of the island

The fourth film by Martin McDonagh, director of “In Bruges”, “Seven Psychopaths and a Dog” and “Three Ads for a Crime”, premiered at the Venice Festival and hasn’t stopped since. It’s a black comedy about male loneliness that has been at every award show and one of the two that has become even more established as the season progresses. Among the categories in which he is most solid are Original Screenplay, Actor (Colin Farrell) and Supporting Actor. At press time, it had 91 awards and 256 nominations.

The Fabelmans

This seemed like the movie to beat when the season kicked off. It is number 33 in the history of Steven Spielberg and his most personal work as it narrates exactly how he fell in love and decided to dedicate himself to cinema. It has been making up ground with the Golden Globe win for Best Motion Picture – Drama and Best Director. It’s the kind of film that could favor preferential voting. Among its other possibilities are: Director, Original Script, Supporting Actress (Michelle Williams) and various techniques. It has 20 awards and 196 nominations.


Two are the films that Todd Field has made before “Tár”, both (“Unforgivable Crime” and “Intimate Secrets”), were present at the respective Oscar ceremony. “Tár,” a drama about a female orchestra conductor dealing with cancellation culture, has become the art film of the year and the favorite in the Best Actress (Cate Blanchett) category. “Tár” has 53 awards to its credit, 187 nominations and will surely be present in other categories such as Original Screenplay, Soundtrack or Editing.

Everything everywhere at the same time

This is the innovative film of the year. With a reduced budget, he resorts to the resource of the multiverse, so popular now in superhero movies, but he uses it in a different way for a laundromat owner to solve her life. It was a box office success and is with “Los Fabelmans” and “Los espíritos de la isla”, one of the three main contenders. Michelle Yeoh could surprise Cate Blanchett for Best Actress, though she probably has more chances for Best Original Screenplay or Best Editing. It already has 192 awards and 317 nominations.

The 5 films that are going for the Oscar